Friday, September 22, 2006

Is it A-Rod? Or Stuart Smalley?


The whole A-Rod thing is priceless, and it still won't go away.
Even when the Yanks clinched, he was still getting tooled on. Why? Poor bastard can't get out of his own way.

Excerpt from a recent ESPN article:

"When people write bad things about me, I don't know if it's because I'm good-looking, I'm biracial, I make the most money, I play on the most popular team ..."

Wow. Will someone read that back to him so he can understand it? What color is the sky on your planet?

Even Stuart Smalley is like, DUDE? Tone it down...

His teammates will not relent, especially Giambi. Where the heck is Torre in all of this? Don't you grab your team by the collar & tell them to zip it? How are you managing this team if you allow this to continue?

Is there a way out? Only if he has monster playoffs, but the Yanks still must win. Remember too that he has more pressure on him now than ever. He certainly hasn't been able to handle it so far. Will more pressure help or hurt? If he struggles, his days in pinstripes may be over. Will he get the big hit when it counts? No way. He'll be pressing too hard and then he'll be packing...

Wednesday, September 20, 2006

Yanks finally clinch, but playoff hopes doomed...


Took them long enough. Sox imploded a while ago. Don't pat yourselves on the back too hard.

Yanks Playoffs Doomed? You decide...

"Unhappy family? Yankees give A-Rod tough love" http://x.go.com/cgi/x.pl?goto=http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2595523&name=FPT-2595523-092013&srvc=sz

That's a recent title of an ESPN.com article. Pitching matchups aside (which are not in Yanks favor either), chemistry is a huge part of winning. Just ask the 2004 version of the Sox. With a team supposedly cruising to the playoffs, having guys take shots at each other in the clubhouse is a bad sign. Even Torre has had to speak with A-Rod.

So lets see, A-Rod has the fans, teammates, and the manager against him. You might as well hit him 9th now. Thats going to be ugly.

So enjoy going to the playoffs while it lasts, it doesn't look good. Must be hard rooting for a team fighting within itself. Don't really wish that on anyone.

The only question now is who will take A-Rod off your hands in the offseason & how much is Georgie going to pony up to get it done?

Monday, September 18, 2006

Yanks drop 3 of 4 at home to Sox…

We know, we know. It doesn’t matter and the Sox aren’t going to the playoffs. But your playoff bound Yankees just dropped 3 of 4 to a pitching staff that consisted of:

Beckett: 2ER
Tavares: 4ER
Snyder: 2ER
Jarvis: 4ER

Who? Yikes. And your Bombers countered with Wang, Johnson, Wright, and Mussina (your playoff rotation). All this against a lineup without Manny. The game they did manage to win took a late inning rally. Well, they must be on cruise control. Yup, that’s what it is. They really weren’t trying to win. They didn't want to clinch against the Sox at home either. By the way, the Brooklyn Bridge is for sale...

Yes the Sox will be watching the playoffs, but witnessing another $200M go down in flames will be entertaining. Playoffs are about pitching. Wang, Mussina, and Johnson don’t match up against the A’s, Minn, or the struggling Tigers. So good luck with that.

That’s right folks. Another disappointing season without a ring. Keep counting your division titles. Maybe you’ll catch the Braves. Who cares about division titles? Teams that don't win championships. And how many rings do the Braves have again?

Wednesday, September 06, 2006

A ray of hope? Not really...

Sox finally win two in a row, and against a playoff contender no less. Even more silly, their starters were Julian Tavarez & Kason Gabbard. Your starter tonight? Kyle Snyder... Here's your rotation for the next 5 starts:

Snyder, Beckett, DiNardo, Tavarez, Gabbard - with no closer... Wowch…

Although some of you feel somewhat optimistic, realize that the Sox need to reel off something like 18-5 to get in. Or let’s live in the land of make-believe for a minute. The Sox stay 6 behind in the wildcard race, and manage to sweep the Twins (19th - 21st) to bring it to 3 games. Then they have 9 games to close the gap. Not that far fetched you say?

Without a healthy Schilling, no Wells, no Papelbon, a weakened pen, and still no Wakefield, what are you smokin? The only hope is that the lineup needs to get red hot and they bash their way in.

Both Minn & Chisox would need to implode. Chisox still face Angels, A's, Det, Sea, & Minn. Minn has an easier path vs. Det, A's, & Chisox. So if you're scoreboard watching still, keep an eye on Minn as Chisox should fall back.

In 2004, the Sox went 20-11 to finish the regular season. Their remaining schedule only has roadblocks with 4 vs. Yanks and 3 vs. Minn. Is it plausable? Yup. Probable? Nope. Mathematically they’re still in it. They need to play well and get a ton of help.

Realistically? Let’s just hope the injury bug has left the building. It’s just uncanny, never seen anything like this.

Lastly, please keep your thoughts and prayers around Jon Lester who was recently diagnosed with a rare form of Lymphoma Cancer. The 22 year old will undergo chemo for 4 months. Good luck Jon...

Tuesday, August 29, 2006

Quick, someone get a muzzle for the fat lady...


She might not be singing just yet, but she's a hummin...

With Papi going back to Boston for testing (insert our heart attack here) it doesn't look good. That may be the final straw. Who can carry the offense with Manny out too? Yikes.

It doesn't look like they'll be able to survive until they get healthy. You can't call an MLB worst 8-19 record in Aug surviving...

Here is the AAA version of the Sox last night in Oak:

P - Kason Gabbard

Crisp
Cora
Loretta
Youkilis
Hinske
Lowell
J Lopez
C Pena
Pedroia


Let's just have Jeff Spicoli fill out the lineup card for Sept...

No Ortiz, No Manny, No Pitching, "NO DICE!"

____________________________________________

The Sox have 31 games left, with a 6 game defecit for the wild card and 7 game defecit for the AL East. In order to make the playoffs, the teams they are chasing would need to go 16-17. The Sox? Need to go 21-10 the rest of the way. With their current roster, that would be quite a feat. Don't hold your breath very long...

____________________________________________

The WBC affect?

Lets not pretend that this created the downfall of the Sox. While it did affect them, there are plenty of reasons they are in the state they're currently in.

The WBC has roughly 50 well known major leaguers on their rosters. Of those 50, we count 17 players that have spent significant time on the DL, had significant negative effects to their stats, or both. That's about 35% of players affected. Is the WBC to blame? Maybe. Would these players performed differently or been injured if they didn't participate? You decide. It just seems like 35% is a little more than a coincidence. Here's the list of players affected:

Bobby Abreu
Rafael Betancourt
Adrian Beltre
Jorge Cantu
Bartolo Colon
Lenny DiNardo
Derrick Lee
Brad Lidge
Esteban Loaiza
Jake Peavy
Wily Mo Pena
Albert Pujols
Alex Rodriguez
Huston Street
Mike Timlin
Jason Varitek
Dontrelle Willis
Victor Zambrano

Wednesday, August 23, 2006

The Yankee Euphoria...


For those of you that don't know what "euphoria" means: A feeling of great happiness or well-being, commonly exaggerated and not necessarily well founded. (Dictionary.com apparently doesn't like the Yanks either) Heck, even Shatner the ultimate "over-actor" isn't buying it...

Let's recap...

1) It's only August
2) The Yanks have plenty of time to blow it
3) As long as the Yanks are 3 games up with 4 to go, the Sox will be fine (2004 revisited)
4) Yanks pitching is not that good. It just didn't suck as bad as the Sox pitching over 5 games
5) The next 4 game set at Yankee Stadium will allow you to suffer at home in Sept.

While it has been so nice to hear from all of you regarding the Sox demise, there are still 40 games left. It really can't get worse for the Sox, and can't get any better for the Yanks. Don't expect all the breaks continuing to come your way...

But your Yankees just lost Mussina, at least for his next start. His track record late in the season isn't good. Ponson is horrible, and the Unit is an average #3 starter at this point. More pressure just got dumped on Wang.

Still confident? Riding high? Must be living in fantasy land...

You've just been set up for another fall Yankee Fans.


Only this time its from higher ground...

Monday, August 21, 2006

Has anyone seen our pitching staff?

Looks like it may not take those 24 games after all. If the staff continues to pitch like this, it will be over before the west coast trip ends. It's been awful. It's almost like they don't want it bad enough. Aside from Schilling, no one has shown any guts from the staff. And if the starter managed to pitch well enough for a win, the pen blows it. They should have taken 2 games from the Tigers and at least 2 from the Yanks. Bottom line is they didn't. They don't deserve to go to the playoffs right now. Who could they "out pitch" in a playoff series right now? It's not looking good folks. They may not be able to weather the storm until Wake & Tek return. Even then, it may not be enough. The real key is Beckett. If he manages to go on a run, they may be OK. The only problem is that he hasn't done it consistently all season, so why should it start now? Look for Wells to get the win today and stop the skid, at least temporarily. This team is still going to win 90+ games, but will it be enough? Unless they get hot soon, no. Lets hope this series is a wake up call.

For you Yankee fans out there, don't go printing those World Series tickets just yet. Everything went right for the Bombers in this series and nothing went right for the Sox "arms". How much confidence do you have in your staff with these #'s? The pen is what made the difference this weekend...

4 Games - 25 runs: Starters - 18 runs, Pen - 7 runs

Starters: Avg 5IP, 4.5 runs

Wang 6IP, 3ER
Ponson 3IP, 7ER
Unit 7IP, 5ER
Mussina 4IP, 3ER

Good luck in any playoff series with that pitching...

At least the Sox pitching can't get any worse, the only way to go is up. How far up is the question...

Monday, August 14, 2006

The next 24 games will decide the season...

After a nail biting 3 game sweep of the O's, the Sox find themselves only 1 game back of the Yanks and 2 games out of the wildcard behind the surging Chisox. What a difference a few days make.

The good news is we should know if the Sox are a playoff team in the next 3 weeks or so. Why? take a look at their upcoming schedule. It's a doozey...

Detroit - 3 games
Yanks - 5 games

West Coast Trip:
Angels - 3
Seattle - 3
Oakland - 3

Back Home:
Toronto - 3
ChiSox - 3

That translates into a 24 game stretch from hell, with only 1 day off. Wow, the average of those teams is at a 66-51 record. At least most games are at home. The upcoming double header on Fri and a day game on Sat will be brutal.

While the Sox seemed to have found themselves offensively, pitching is still a concern. Schill, Beckett, and Wells need to be outstanding. Lester is probably where he'll be at the rest of the way, giving up 3-5 runs per game over 5 innings. The Jason Johnson experiment may be over (hopefully), and we'd like to see Phil Seibel get a shot until Wake returns (which is at the end of this stretch). Put Johnson in the pen.

The bullpen continues to struggle and need the starters to go longer. The return of Varitek wouldn't hurt either. Now the rehabbing Foulke has been put back on the shelf and we may never see him again. These guys need some rest, and only the starters can provide it.

So, what's going to happen? They should be fine if they win 14 games. It's do-able but tough. If Schill, Beckett, and Wells all pitch well (all 3 excel in big games), they'll only need to steal a couple games from Lester & the #5 spot.

The Yanks have a similar road, with the only differences against Minnesota & Baltimore. Chisox & Minnesota face each other 6 times during this stretch.

Bottom line is that no one has an easy road. But the ones standing after this stretch will be there at the end. It won't be easy catching the leaders in early September...

Friday, August 11, 2006

Royal Sweep! Did you twist your ankle jumping off the bandwagon yet?

Can things get much worse? Well, yes, but it really doesn't feel that way. The Sox are now 12-15 since the break. Ouch.

Whats going on?

It's certainly not the competition. Cleveland 49-64, Tampa Bay 47-68, and KC 41-73 represent the league's worst. The Sox went a combined 3-7 against them.

Is it the absence of Tek? They are a combined 2-7 since he went down. Does 1 player have such as significant impact on a pitching staff? Probably not to that extreme, but some.

Is it the offense? They've averaged just under 5 runs a game with a .277 BA. It's not Ortiz and Manny, they've been tearing it up since the break. Lowell has struggled (.200 BA), and also out of the catching spot.

Is it the rotation? There's the "Tek factor" and the rocky return of Wells. Johnson pitched well his last outing, but Lester continues to struggle. Opposing teams have averaged 5 1/2 runs a game with a .296 BA.

Is it the pen? Are the youngsters hitting the wall? Papelbon, Delcarmen, and Hansen are not what they were a few weeks ago. Timlin has not returned to his old form since the injury. Tavarez & Seanez have been non-factors. Do the recent pen meltdowns make all the other problems look worse? Take away 3 or 4 recent losses and they're still in first...

Is it the lack of talent from the trade deadline? Let's say the Sox pulled off the Abreu and Lidle deal. How much does it really help them right now? Put Lidle in Johnson's spot and Abreu in Wily Mo's spot. It's a wash right now. Apparently there are some in the clubhouse that were disappointed by the lack of a move (see - veterans that don't have many opportunities left). Don't you find it hard to believe that the front office is so enamoured with its young talent they wouldn't make a move? Please. Theo traded Nomar - the face of the franchise at the time. Would he hesitate to trade a couple young arms for an Oswalt? No. Bottom line is that we don't know what deals were proposed. These deals always look good on July 31st, but how often do they make a difference? Other than 2004, good luck finding one.

So what is really happening here? It's a combination of all those things. Remember that this team has persevered without a 4 & 5 starter basically all season. Your #3 starter was struggling and still sits on the DL. Lester has been OK but only gives you 5 innings. Johnson, Snyder, Pauley, Gabbard, etc didn't exactly give you quality starts. Now the pen is starting to show signs of wear because the starters can't go 6 or 7 innings. Throw in the Tek injury and the dominoes are starting to fall. All the breaks and late game comebacks have disappeared. Anything that could go wrong, is going wrong.

Where do we go from here? They'll need a run similar to 2004 to get back in the playoffs. The skid is not over folks. Wells needs to regain his old form, Wake needs to come back strong, and someone other than Ortiz & Manny needs to step up offensively (Wily Mo?). The question is if this team can weather the storm. It certainly doesn't look good right now. Hang in folks, there's still a long way to go. Let's just hope things turn around before its too late...

Thursday, August 03, 2006

The Cardiac Kids...

Another 9th inning comeback. This time it wasn't Papi. Of the 7 walk off hits this season, he has 5 and now Loretta has 2. Your 2006 Sox are now 2nd (believe it or not) with 31 come from behind wins. Hard to imagine anyone else has more, but certainly not more dramatic than what we've seen lately. How can you leave the park early or turn the TV off before the game ends?

The latest rumbling is that the Sox are going after the Orioles catcher Javy Lopez. Apparently he's been put on waivers (was actually asking to be released) and supposedly made it thru waivers all the way to the Sox. They should be able to claim him ($9M salary probably is what got him thru) and not have to give up much to get him. How does this affect Varitek? Probably not as much as you may think. Lopez is a free agent at year end, so he'll be gone. Tek won't come back until at least the first week of Sept, and he wouldn't be as compelled to rush his recovery. Mirabelli is not an everyday player, and will need to split duty anyway (Huckaby hitting just above .200 in AAA is not overly appealing). Once Tek does return, he probably doesn't go back to 4 days on and 1 off either. With the expanded roster in Sept, it makes sense to carry 3 catchers especially when one of them is a thumping right handed bat off the bench. He's been very unhappy in Baltimore and a change of scenery should benefit him. The only questions surround his diminished role once Tek returns and the Sox willing to pony up the rest of his $9M. it only makes sense to do this deal right away.

Wet Balls?
Yup, thats what some opposing players are saying about the baseballs at Colorado's Coors Field. The Rockies are being accused of soaking their balls or storing them in a humidor prior to games. This reduces the flight of the ball especially at that high altitude. Are they really altering the ball, or is it better pitching in 2006? You decide - take a look at stats both home & away the past few years:

2006:
Home: 4.03 Era / 87HR (projected)
Away: 4.32 Era / 53HR (projected)

2005:
Home: 5.13 Era / 84HR
Away: 5.07 Era / 91HR

2004:
Home: 6.27 Era / 110 HR
Away: 4.72 Era / 88HR

2003:
Home: 5.07 Era / 117HR
Away: 5.35 Era / 83HR

Looks like their pitching is just plain better by looking at their HR's allowed on the road this season. If the numbers hold, they will give up more home runs at home than last season. Even if they are "un-juicing" the ball, aren't their hitters at the same disadvantage?

Trade Deadline:
Are you that upset about the Sox not making a move at the deadline? Without knowing specifics of deals, we can't understand why there are so many questioning the front office. The Sox are noted as deadline losers. Are the Sox that enamored with their farm to not make a deal? No. Theo is a smart guy and has shown in the past he's not afraid to move the face of the franchise (see Nomar). But for the most part, deadline deals rarely make a difference. Other than 2004, when did a July trade make a difference in the same year? The percentages are against it and asking prices are sky high with all the teams still "in" the playoff chase. Would you rather a front office that made a knee jerk reaction? How much would Cory Lidle excite you if the Sox landed him? Kip Wells? Jeff Suppan? Please. The deadline is about difference makers. Does Bobby Abreu really make a "difference" or put them over the top? Would he for the Sox? No on both counts.

Another thing we've been hearing all season is that the Sox should have pulled futher away from the Yanks. The Yanks have had significant injuries and had to rely on their young players. Unless we missed something, the Sox have one of their best records at this point of the season since the 70's. They've also had significant injuries including starting pitching. They are relying on their young talent (Lester, Papelbon, Hansen, Delcarmen, Wily Mo) in major roles to carry them. These teams have been very similar all season with the Sox holding a slight edge. The national media is caught up patting the Yanks on the back for staying with the Sox. Well folks, how about recognizing that the Sox stayed on top with a patchwork rotation and injuries of their own? Guess that "perception" is everything...

Monday, July 31, 2006

The deal that wasn't...

The days and weeks leading up to the deadline pointed to the Sox not doing much of anything. In the last couple of days, there have been names like Clemens, Schmidt, Soriano, and Andruw Jones being thrown out as real possibilities. What a big tease.

If not for the recent injury to Trot (won’t know how severe until at least 4:01 PM today), things would probably be status quo. Depending on the severity of the injury, it may have altered the thinking in the front office. But apparently it wasn’t enough to persuade them into making a deal. Say hello Wily Mo & Kapler. Let’s hope this isn’t the beginning of the end for Trot.

While some of the deals proposed made some sense, but they didn’t really address the major need of starting pitching:

1) Lowell & prospects for Linebrink & Lugo
2) Lowell & prospects for Shealy & “more than reputable starter” (who?)

From fairy land…
1) Andruw Jones for; Lester, Coco, and Hansen (yeah, OK. Why not Papelbon too?)
2) Clemens – if he didn’t want to ruffle feathers in Houston before, why now?
3) Schmidt – see ridiculous Braves offer above.
4) Kip Wells – did the Sox really “lose out” on this one?
5) What team would trade a starter (Buehrle) for a CF (Coco) hitting .260?
6) Both Lowell & Coco were assured they were not on the block?

The good thing is that the Sox didn’t have a Duquette knee jerk reaction to the Yanks acquisition of Abreu & Lidle. They kept their young talent intact and didn’t leverage the future. While that trade helps the Yanks, it doesn’t put them over the top. It shores up the rotation with an upgrade over Ponson, and adds a little more pop (not power) to the lineup. They also poured gasoline on Sheff. Have fun with that in the clubhouse.

Pitching is what makes the difference down the stretch and in the playoffs. While the Yanks did improve, they basically added a #5 guy. Their staff ace in Mussina has been the anchor, but has been prone to breaking down the last few years especially late in the season. Wang has been good, but he’s not dominant (36BB, 45K’s) and is unproven in the playoffs. The Big Unit just came off a shelling by the D-Rays (now 11-9, 5+ Era), and Wright rarely gets past the 5th inning.

The Sox have Schill leading the way despite his last outing. He gets better the bigger the game is. Beckett has been inconsistent, but has only given up more than 3 runs twice in his last 10 games, and lowered his ERA by ½ a run during that span. He’s young and still getting better, maybe he’s figuring out the AL. Lester has pitched very well and should continue to get better. Wells returns tonight and will probably get shelled. Let’s hope he rights the ship quickly. He could be a huge asset down the stretch. Wakefield is still on the shelf and his return is still weeks away. The experiment in the #5 spot has only produced 1 win since the break. Ouch.
Why did the Sox stand pat? Here are some issues that may have affected their reasoning:

1) David Wells. He probably would have packed it in if he didn’t think he’d pitch down the stretch. Must have looked good in side sessions.
2) Wakefield. Should be back in a couple of weeks, solid innings eater.
3) Phil Seibel. Return from 2005 Tommy John surgery, started 9 games in AA with a 1.20 era, now in AAA with 1.86 era. Stay tuned.
4) They already have similar to what’s available.
5) The infield. Why would you change the best fielding % in the majors?
6) The farm (the pricetag). Front office refused to part with talent for a rental player. Aside from 2004, can you name a good deadline deal for the Sox? Suppan? Sauerbeck?

The Sox should be there at the end. They’ve been able to withstand multiple injuries (Wells, Clement, Coco, Pena, etc) and still have one of the best records at this point of the season since the 70’s. Will Schill, Beckett, and Wake be enough in a short playoff series? The Angels, Twins, and Tigers (in that order) will be very tough in a short series.
It doesn’t seem too far out of reach for the Sox. As long as health isn’t a major issue, they should be able to grind their way into the playoffs. They have a favorable schedule and a recent history of playing well down the stretch. Regardless, it’s going to come down to the last week if not the last couple games. Strap in folks. It’ll be the Sox, Yanks, Twins, and Chisox battling for 2 spots. Should be one of the most exciting finishes in recent memory…

Saturday, July 22, 2006

Sox start left coast trip on a roll...

Sox 5th starter du jour Snyder pitched fairly well in his 3rd start for the Sox. After cruising thru the first 4 innings he was affected by an apparent cramp, yielded 2 runs, and was not able to return to the 6th. Lets just hope its only a cramp. This rotation cannot afford another setback.

Sox rook Kason Gabbard gets his first major league start today. He had a great start at AA Portland, but struggled in AAA Pawtucket before making adjustments. His last 2 starts have been solid. Apparently he didn't make the trip with the team because Theo had a deal in the works for another starter. Who? Take a look at todays starters around the league. The potential deal may also have been nixed due to Wells apparent recovery. He had another good side session and could return as early as Aug 3rd or 8th.

Few notes...

Great job by the front office inking Beckett for another 3 years, at an average of under $9M per year. Even at 26, Beckett is still better than any of the latest free agent signings, and at less $. Pavano, Clement, AJ Burnett, etc have all been disappointing. Can you imagine how much Beckett would cost on the open market? Probably $12m+ at a minimum.

Jon Lester returns to his hometown and starts tomorrow. With 50 of his friends and family present, it will be interesting to see how he responds. He seems to have embraced the deluge of local media with open arms. Good sign for a rook...

The Yanks have dropped their last 3 with A-Ro (no "D", get it) committing 5 errors in his last 5 games. He's getting booed at home all the time. Rumors have him headed out of NY where he supposedly can't handle the pressure any more (16 errors already). Don't see anyone taking on that salary however. Also, it looks like the Octavio Dotel experiment has ended in NY.

Trade Deadline:

The Mike Lowell for Jake Peavy trade shouldn't have been published. What a goof.

Why would the Sox have any interest in SS Julio Lugo, when Gonzo is better???

Don't look for the Sox to take on $30M remaining for a Bobby Abreu type player either...

The rumors with any substance:

Kyle Lohse: 2-5, 7.14 Era (Sox said no thanks)
Odalis Perez: 4-4, 6.94 (again, no thanks)
Livan Hernandez: 6-8, 5.85 (already have similar, NL pitcher, asking price too high)

Look for a swap of relievers to happen: Julian Tavarez / Rudy Seanez, for a Ray King (Colorado) or similar exchange

With Wells return looking good and only a handful of teams out of it, this team on the field should be the same in Oct...

Tuesday, July 18, 2006

Sox limp out of the gate in 2nd half...

Boy are those Sox hitters making these mediocre guys look good. The Sox pitchers (other than Schill) made that Oakland lineup look like bashers (2nd to last in AL in runs). Yes, Oakland is typically a good 2nd half team, but that wasn't Atlanta's Hudson on the mound last night either.

While its way too early to be alarmed, the Yanks are winning right now (settle down Yankee fans - its only a 4 game streak). And those ChiSox don't look like they did last season going a combined 1-5 vs the Sox and Yanks (going 19 innings to get the 1 win). That team era of 4.5+ is not even close to last season. Look for Detroit (a full run lower era) to take the central going away ("hip" pick is Chicago right now). Don't count out a good pitching Minnesota team taking a run at the Chisox & wildcard either.

Sox now have more pitching issues. It sounds like Wake will be put on the DL soon. How far is the tandem of Jason Johnson & Snyder going to take you as your 4 & 5 starters? Here comes David Pauley or Marc Deschenes folks. The bats better get hot when these guys are on the mound.

What it comes down to is Schill & Beckett being lights out. Someone other than Papi & Manny need to step up every night.

Clement is probably done (and maybe not just for this season - offseason trade to NL is likely).
Whatever happened to Lenny DiNardo?
Are we pinning our hopes on Wells getting healthy? Yikes.
Will this push Theo to do something at the deadline?
Are Pedroia, Murphy, Ellsbury, Moss, or Edgar Martinez now expendable?

Yanks aren't in a much better situation. Sidney "don't hit the judge" Ponson is now taking the mound for the bombers. Good luck with that one. Other than Mussina & recently Wang, there's no consistency. Your young players are getting hurt, and nagging injuries are mounting (Damon, A-Rod). The dog days are coming and they are OLD.

Looks like the trade deadline just got more interesting. The real question is there a deal out there for either team to put them over the top? Not likely for either. Both need more pitching (and do you even consider an NL pitcher at this point?).

Would like to see Theo go after Cleveland's Cliff Lee. His name hasn't been put out there yet. Cleveland is out of it, and he's only signed thru this year. Numbers aren't eye popping by any stretch (9-6, 4.68 ERA) but would be a solid #5 guy. He's a better option than what we have now, and you probably wouldn't have to give up the farm to get him.

Other possibilities:
Kansas City - Mark Redman 6-5, 5.02 (free agent at end of season)
Colorado - Josh Fogg 7-5, 4.23 (last year of 1 year deal)
Atlanta - John Smoltz - too much to give up
Philly - Jon Lieber 3-7, 5.56
Florida - no one is left
Nats - Tony Armas 6-4, 4.44 (just off DL)
Cubs - Glendon Rusch 3-7, 7.48 (just off DL)
Pittsburgh - Kip Wells 0-4, 9.13 (just off 60 day DL)

Monday, July 10, 2006

First Half a success...

How can it not be while sitting with a 3 game lead over the Yanks?

Their 53 - 33 is best record at the break in recent memory (52 - 33 back in 02).

Overall it's been a great first half.

The Downside:

- Trade of Arroyo (how does this one look with the injuries to the staff & Wily Mo? Ouch.)
- Injuries: Wells, Foulke, Clement, DiNardo, Wily Mo, Coco
- Nagging injuries: Varitek, Wake, Timlin, possibly Schill
- Tavarez & Seanez performances out of the pen
- Inconsistent Beckett - still hasn't found the AL groove yet, too many homers

The Upside:

- Addition & success of young arms (Lester, Delcarmen, Hansen, Lopez)
- Papelbon success - possible consideration for rookie honors, Cy, & MVP
- Youkilis solid at 1st, best OBP for leadoff
- Defense - best in MLB - gold glovers at 3rd, short, and make case for 2B
- Offense - 2nd in MLB - Lowell, Youkie, Loretta making the difference, Gonzo & Coco coming on
- Chemistry? Jury still out on this one. Havent' heard much, but nothing bad either. Manny might actually be happy.
- Intangibles: Sox have very few road trips in 2nd half, only one is more than 2 cities long


The deadline:

Needs? Other than a 5th starter or an arm in the pen, Theo seems to have an easy job. This would figure to be one of the less active deadlines in recent memory. The price of acquiring pitching is also sky high apparently.

Options?

Clement is probably done for the year - based on his latest tweak during his rehab. The MRI isn't showing damage, so it must be psychological...

Wells might not pitch again. It's quite strange that we've heard nothing about his rehab or medical status. Based on his comments from last season, you'd think he would retire if he couldn't come back.

Jason Johnson? Can't expect much more than 5 runs per game. He was released for a reason.

Snyder? Pauley? These guys seem like the next reasonable option if Johnson doesn't improve.
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Rumors:

Latest is that the Sox were inquiring about Bobby Abreu from the Phils. Apparently they were asking for Jon Lester in return. Right. They would also be taking on $20M for this & next year. How long did it take to say no? However, this may signal the end of Trot. If they don't think he'll re-sign at their value, they probably won't hesitate to get value for him.
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That's it. If Theo thinks Clement and/or Wells can contribute, he might not do anything. Foulke may return to add to the pen. As long as the club stays healthy, he might be seen on the beach.
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ENJOY THE BREAK!

Jermaine the juicer?


After watching Jermain Dye closely in this last series, he is NOT the same guy who played for Oakland a few years back. His last good season was with KC back in 2000. He's been injury plagued ever since. How many guys improve at the age 0f 32 after a history of injuries?
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Dye's #'s back in 2000: .321 BA, 33HR, 118RBI - his 5th year (and best) in the majors...
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He hasn't approached any of those #'s since. He only played 60 games in 2003. He supposedly is still bothered by nagging injuries.
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His #'s this season (if you double his 1st half): .318BA, 48HR, 130RBI - shattering his career bests
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The point is he hasn't been this good - ever. It's his 10th season. He's always been hurt (he missed 20 games last year). If someone has a breakout year early in their career, thats one thing. If a guy performs consistently and his #'s spike for a season, thats another. If there was a relevant reason for the spike, such as hitting in front of a Jim Thome (and not behind) well, OK.
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While no proof or even rumor has been floated out there, this is not the guy we remember. His numbers are off the charts. He doesn't pass the "eyeball" test either. Maybe he's completely healthy now or found the fountain of youth. Are we crazy here or is something just not right? We certainly don't have any proof, only suspicion. Are we missing something? We hope someone can put this to rest out there...

Thursday, June 29, 2006

Streaking Sox hammer Pedro...

Did you ever imagine that headline?




Out with the old....



And in with the new...

Pedro's return to Fenway was not what he imagined. Although he noted last week he preferred not to face his old teammates. It wasn't pretty. Petey looked rattled in the first when he had trouble deciding what to do with a grounder hit right back to him. An easy double play ball translated into only 1 out and the runners on base scored. It was clear that the return clearly affected him.
Beckett stole the show last night. So was it that big of a mistake not signing Pedro? You wouldn't have Beckett if you did. Here's a few questions to think about:
How effective would Pedro be if he stayed in the AL? Is the NL he's pitching in truly as weak as the last 11 games have shown?
How much does Pedro have left in the tank? Only 1 pitch hit 91 last night. He's got 2 years left on his contract. How effective is that $14m going to be in the next 2 years?
Looks like the Sox might have been prudent sticking to 3 years...
Beckett looks like he's found himself. The transition to the AL may finally have taken hold. Oh yeah, he's only 26...
Few random thoughts...
Correction - last Sox 10 game win streak was late Aug into Sep, back in 2004...
How hot is Gonzo? His average rose from .220 to .267 in 13 games. Wow.
Sox are hitting .340 as a team during this 11 game streak, and bypassed the Yanks and Toronto in runs scored for the year.
Sox are now on pace for over 100 wins...
Despite multiple injuries and this recent run, the Yanks are only 3 1/2 back. Toronto is hanging in at 5 back. Just feels like more distance should have been made. They were tied with Toronto & 1 behind the Yanks.
What's going to happen at the deadline?
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Probably bullpen help only. Why? The emergence of Lester, the pickups of Snyder & Johnson, and Clement's rehab reportedly going well. Don't forget David Wells, who they may just hold back until Aug 1 anyway. If he was going to retire, he would have already.
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Defense? Nope. Already best in the majors...
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Offense? Who do you take out of this lineup? Outfield: Kapler is back & Wily Mo will be in mid July. Infield: Apparently Pedroia is on fire in AAA, and Cora is batting over .300
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Intangibles:
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Manny has not asked for a trade, and won't, according to his agent.
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Maybe look for a backup for 1B, although Hee Sop Choi is in AAA.
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Dontrelle Wills? No way the Marlins part with him.
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Miguel Tejada? O's looking for an established starter (and not Clement).
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Trot Nixon? Is Wily Mo the future?
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BEST WISHES to Peter Gammons who reportedly is recovering well. Supposedly he will make a full recovery. Let's hope so. We miss you already. Get well soon!

Tuesday, June 27, 2006

The Papi factor...


Amazing. Outstanding. Clutch. Ice water in his veins. Get used to this scene Boston fans, and burn it into your memories. This is a special time and a special player...

How many times can he possibly throw the team on his back when the game is on the line? Not since Larry Legend have we seen this many clutch performances. Maybe you can throw Brady & Viniteri into the mix, but at a distant third.



He does it in almost every situation including big playoff games. His ability to dial back the emotion and be selective at the plate is amazing. He also doesn't swing for the fences when he doesn't need to. He'll take a single to end it.

Ortiz made the comment that he must be getting into people's heads, after Saturday's walk-off homer. Joe Torre admitted that Papi has caused him bad dreams & sleepless nights wondering how to get him out. He's not alone. Would you want to be the closer facing him?

Is there anything better than putting fear in the heart of pitchers in all of baseball? The alternative? One of the best right handed hitters in the game is on deck...

Is there a better clutch player in all of baseball? Not right now. You'd be hard pressed to find similar prowess from any era. Attention MVP voters, do NOT screw Ortiz out of the award this season. The "I can't justify a DH getting the award" excuse doesn't fit any longer. Ortiz is the exception. An aberration. He's a special player that does not come along very often. Don't miss the boat. Enjoy the ride with all of us...

Monday, June 26, 2006

Who the heck are these guys?

Talk about a drastic turnaround... Think the Sox mind playing vs. the NL after a 9-0 run and now 11-1 overall? Wow.

Almost afraid to write anything seeing as we hammered them after their last loss. Since then they've averaged 7+ runs a game of offense and 3 runs allowed. Pitching has been outstanding, other than Seanez vs Atlanta & today.

Even if the competition hasn't been robust, they've still rattled off 9 in a row. That's impressive. You have to go back to 2002 for the last time they pulled that off.

How does this team stack up against the last 2? Take a look at the standings from the last 2 seasons at the all-star break...

2004: 48 - 38
2005: 49 - 38

2006: 45 - 28

If they stumble to a 4-9 finish, they will still have a better record at the break. Never would have thought that 2 weeks ago. A modest 7-6 record before the break puts them at 52 wins...

Coming to the Fens on Wed: Petey & his Soul Glow return to Fenway...


Will fans step up & applaud?

Or do they think his sugary sweet comments are insincere?

We'll be standing. Welcome back Petey...

Friday, June 16, 2006

Massacre in Minnesota...

Well Sox fans, if you weren't aware of this teams shortcomings, you certainly are after this last series. Other than game 1 with Schill, Papelbon & Timlin, it's been ugly. This is a sub .500 Twins team that had been struggling. They couldn't hit Silva who came in with a 2-8 record and 7+ era. Ouch.

Is this a June swoon? Or is it something more this time? Don't look now, but here comes Atlanta who they struggle mightily against. And here comes Toronto charging into second (tied now) & maybe even first.

Unless things change in a hurry...


Starters
Schill - the staff anchor, having a good season
Wake - poor record but has pitched fairly well, no run support
Beckett - somewhat of a disappointment with lack of consistency
Clement - tired arm & latest whining episode is NOT GOOD, trip to DL coming?
Wells - will he ever pitch again? Effectively if he does?
Lester - youngster needs to come up big
Pauley/DiNardo/Alvarez - just filling the void...

Here's your slated starters upcoming:
Lester - Beckett - Schill - Clement/Pauley - Wake

What does Theo do? Boy, that Arroyo trade just looks worse and worse as time goes by...


Bullpen
Other than Papelbon, yikes. If Timlin stays healthy, he should be fine. Theo just traded Riske - their 3rd best reliever with a 3.72 era - for a 28 yr old lefty from AAA with minimal success in the bigs. Do you buy the "we had a number of righty's in front of Riske and really needed a lefty" line? Unless Riske is a serious injury risk, would you pull the trigger on this one?

This year's staff era combined: 4.84 Last year? 4.74


Offense
1B - Youkilis has been outstanding, #'s better than Millar/Olerud even at leadoff spot
2B - Loretta has been good, #'s way up over Belhorn
SS - Gonzalez is not paid to hit, big drop-off even from struggling Renteria
3B - Lowell has been outstanding, #'s way up over Mueller
C - Tek has been off in average only, #'s similar to last season
DH - Papi has been himself, just awesome
LF - Manny has not been Manny - RBI's 30+ short if multiply to 162 games
RF - Trot has been healthy & significantly more productive than last year
CF - Injuries, #'s slightly off Damon (10HR 75RBI)

Overall runs scored - on pace to score about 900. Last year? 910.

Current projected wins at 92 on current pace, vs 95 from last season...

What to do Theo? Pitching, pitching, pitching. Best out there is probably Zito & Schmidt. Only problem is that both of their teams will still be in the hunt come July 31st. Not much else out there.

All you can count on right now is Schill & Papelbon.

Beckett needs to turn things up. He has the stuff and the mentors to do it.

Clement needs to grow a set. Hopefully he's not done.

Lester must perform. He is the key right now.


All we know is that if things don't change quickly, this could be a long summer...

Thursday, June 08, 2006

Did you hear that sound? The HGH bomb just went off...

Thank you Jason Grimsley. Whatever you did to bring attention to yourself and get caught, thank you. And for all those players you named in the affadavit (who will be leaked sooner rather than later) thank you again.

Let's just hope that this forces the hand of MLB and the dispicable MLBPA to start testing NOW. It's probably too late to raid the players named in the affadavit because they probably flushed the evidence as soon as they heard about the Grimsley arrest.

We've heard the argument about the lack of accurate or reliable testing for HGH. So here are a couple of ideas for the geniuses over at MLB:

1) Implement IOC testing immediately, and use the labs they already have in place. Meet with them and LEARN from their experiences.
2) Draw blood from EVERY player & store it until a proven method of testing can be implemented.
3) Impose stronger penalties for substances not able to be detected yet, such as 81 game suspensions. For those who have retired or are retiring, hit them in the wallet (1/2 of salary or all of it) and block them from being voted into the Hall of Fame.
4) How about some jail time for players? Isn't proof of usage a crime?

While #2 may raise some concerns over issues such as mishandling, it will be a DETERRENT.

How long will it take to make a change? Hopefully Congress steps in on this one. They were able to sway MLB to make sweeping changes in steroid testing. If Selig wants to stay in power, he better stay in front of this one.

Let's just hope this will weed out the remaining cheaters out there starting NOW. MLB can't hide from this much longer.

Let's put some pressure on them ourselves. Write to your Congressman. Seriously. If you want to keep your kids (and others) safe from dangerous and harmful drugs, you are crazy if you don't. As a society, do we want our youth growing up thinking they need to cheat in order to succeed or be the best? Send a message that it's not OK.

Make a difference today! Contact information provided below...

(as a side note, is it really that surprising now that T.O. healed in time for the Super Bowl?)


Massachusetts:

Senator Edward M. Kennedy
Washington Office
317 Russell Senate Building
Washington D.C. 20510
p (202) 224-4543
f (202) 224-2417

Massachusetts Office
2400 JFK Building
Boston, MA 02203
p (617) 565-3170
p (877) 472-9014
f (617) 565-3183

http://kennedy.senate.gov/senator/contact.cfm

Senator John Kerry
Washington D.C.
304 Russell Bldg. Third Floor
Washington D.C. 20510
(202) 224-2742

Boston
One Bowdoin Square, Tenth Floor
Boston, MA 02114
(617) 565-8519

http://kerry.senate.gov/v3/contact/email.html


New York:

Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton
New York City
780 Third Ave, Suite 2601
New York, NY 10017
Phone: (212) 688-6262
Fax: (212) 688-7444

http://clinton.senate.gov/contact/webform.cfm


Senator Charles E. Schumer
Washington, DC
313 Hart Senate Building
Washington, DC 20510
Phone: 202-224-6542
Fax: 202-228-3027
TDD: 202-224-0420

New York City
757 Third Avenue, Suite 17-02
New York, NY 10017
Phone: 212-486-4430
Fax: 212-486-7693
TDD: 212-486-7803

http://schumer.senate.gov/SchumerWebsite/contact/webform.cfm